NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL UNCW
Points 71.0 75.1
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 19.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 13.8
Shooting DEL UNCW
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 59.9
Field Goal % 47.9% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 12.6 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 17.8
Free Throw % 70.4% 77.5%
Ball Control DEL UNCW
Rebounds 32.7 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.8
Turnovers 10.3 6.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 3.1 5.8
Fouls 14.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL UNCW
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 70.7
% of Possessions with DEL UNCW
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 28.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.6%
Turnover 15.2% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL UNCW
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 28.2%