NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP NCAT
Points 73.7 66.9
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 20.8
Points From Free Throws 12.5 10.8
Shooting CAMP NCAT
Field Goals Made 26.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 60.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 12.5 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 15.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.8%
Ball Control CAMP NCAT
Rebounds 36.5 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.3
Turnovers 10.1 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.4
Steals 4.5 5.5
Fouls 13.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP NCAT
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 69.9
% of Possessions with CAMP NCAT
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 30.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.3%
Turnover 14.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP NCAT
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 24.3%