NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP ECU
Points 66.4 75.3
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 26.0
Points From Free Throws 12.3 10.6
Shooting CAMP ECU
Field Goals Made 23.0 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 60.6
Field Goal % 44.2% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.5 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 12.3 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 15.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 68.6%
Ball Control CAMP ECU
Rebounds 30.3 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 11.8
Turnovers 12.2 8.9
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.7
Steals 4.8 7.9
Fouls 12.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP ECU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 62.4 70.8
% of Possessions with CAMP ECU
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 31.7%
Player Fouled 21.0% 18.7%
Turnover 18.0% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP ECU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 33.3%