NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP HAMP
Points 72.7 69.4
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 24.8
Points From Free Throws 12.8 9.7
Shooting CAMP HAMP
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 61.3
Field Goal % 44.5% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 13.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.7%
Ball Control CAMP HAMP
Rebounds 35.1 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.3
Turnovers 9.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.2
Steals 6.1 5.3
Fouls 12.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP HAMP
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 70.2
% of Possessions with CAMP HAMP
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 32.5%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.0%
Turnover 13.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP HAMP
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 27.4%