NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP WEBB
Points 69.8 77.2
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 30.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 9.7
Shooting CAMP WEBB
Field Goals Made 24.2 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 61.2
Field Goal % 44.8% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 14.9 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 15.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 61.5%
Ball Control CAMP WEBB
Rebounds 31.3 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 10.8
Turnovers 10.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.9
Steals 5.2 5.8
Fouls 13.4 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Gard-Webb

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP WEBB
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 71.4
% of Possessions with CAMP WEBB
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 31.4%
Player Fouled 23.9% 18.9%
Turnover 15.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP WEBB
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 30.1%