NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP UNCW
Points 68.6 80.9
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 29.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.1
Shooting CAMP UNCW
Field Goals Made 24.2 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 61.7
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 15.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.5%
Ball Control CAMP UNCW
Rebounds 29.2 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 11.4
Turnovers 11.1 7.5
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.9
Steals 3.4 6.1
Fouls 13.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP UNCW
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.1 71.8
% of Possessions with CAMP UNCW
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 35.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.5%
Turnover 16.4% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP UNCW
Shot Blocked 4.7% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 33.3%