NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND MINN
Points 67.2 78.6
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 21.7
Points From Free Throws 12.0 13.2
Shooting UND MINN
Field Goals Made 24.0 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 57.0
Field Goal % 40.3% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 12.0 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 19.4
Free Throw % 71.7% 67.9%
Ball Control UND MINN
Rebounds 32.8 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.7
Turnovers 9.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 6.0 6.1
Fouls 14.1 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: North Dakota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND MINN
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 68.8
% of Possessions with UND MINN
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 20.3%
Turnover 14.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND MINN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 27.5%