NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND MONT
Points 70.9 75.9
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 21.9
Points From Free Throws 15.1 11.8
Shooting UND MONT
Field Goals Made 24.9 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 57.6
Field Goal % 42.4% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 15.1 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 14.7
Free Throw % 71.7% 80.1%
Ball Control UND MONT
Rebounds 34.6 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 6.6
Turnovers 7.5 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.3
Steals 5.4 4.1
Fouls 13.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Montana

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND MONT
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 66.2
% of Possessions with UND MONT
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 26.2%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.5%
Turnover 11.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND MONT
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 21.5%