NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND UCRV
Points 73.1 71.5
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 22.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 11.7
Shooting UND UCRV
Field Goals Made 25.8 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 61.7
Field Goal % 45.6% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.9 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 16.4
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.1%
Ball Control UND UCRV
Rebounds 36.2 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.3
Turnovers 9.0 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.1
Steals 4.1 5.1
Fouls 13.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND UCRV
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 71.7
% of Possessions with UND UCRV
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 27.2%
Player Fouled 22.7% 19.6%
Turnover 12.9% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND UCRV
Shot Blocked 1.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.0%