NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND NEOM
Points 72.5 69.5
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 15.7
Points From Free Throws 13.8 15.3
Shooting UND NEOM
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 55.8
Field Goal % 43.6% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 13.8 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.4
Free Throw % 71.7% 75.0%
Ball Control UND NEOM
Rebounds 36.2 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.7
Turnovers 9.0 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.7
Steals 5.0 5.2
Fouls 15.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: North Dakota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND NEOM
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 68.1
% of Possessions with UND NEOM
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 21.5%
Player Fouled 22.4% 21.9%
Turnover 13.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND NEOM
Shot Blocked 3.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 22.5%