NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND IDHO
Points 71.0 65.9
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 21.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 9.5
Shooting UND IDHO
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.0
Field Goal % 43.9% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.4 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 12.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 74.3%
Ball Control UND IDHO
Rebounds 36.3 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 6.3
Turnovers 8.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.5
Steals 6.2 4.7
Fouls 12.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND IDHO
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 63.4
% of Possessions with UND IDHO
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 27.2%
Player Fouled 24.4% 18.3%
Turnover 13.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND IDHO
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 19.1%