NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ND WAKE
Points 63.6 73.2
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 21.0
Points From Free Throws 11.9 13.7
Shooting ND WAKE
Field Goals Made 22.0 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 56.2
Field Goal % 40.2% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 11.9 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 17.3
Free Throw % 73.7% 79.2%
Ball Control ND WAKE
Rebounds 32.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.4
Turnovers 11.6 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.6
Steals 5.0 5.8
Fouls 15.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ND WAKE
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 66.6
% of Possessions with ND WAKE
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 27.1%
Player Fouled 19.3% 22.1%
Turnover 17.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ND WAKE
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 23.4%