NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ND GT
Points 67.6 69.1
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 22.8
Points From Free Throws 12.5 11.4
Shooting ND GT
Field Goals Made 23.1 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 59.2
Field Goal % 39.0% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.5 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 15.5
Free Throw % 73.7% 73.6%
Ball Control ND GT
Rebounds 35.8 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.5
Turnovers 8.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.3
Steals 5.4 4.1
Fouls 12.9 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Notre Dame

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ND GT
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 69.1
% of Possessions with ND GT
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 30.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.9%
Turnover 12.7% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ND GT
Shot Blocked 7.4% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 28.9%