NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN MER
Points 77.2 79.8
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 22.1
Points From Free Throws 17.0 15.8
Shooting KENN MER
Field Goals Made 26.4 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 60.4
Field Goal % 44.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 23.3
Free Throw % 67.1% 67.9%
Ball Control KENN MER
Rebounds 35.9 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.9
Turnovers 10.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.0
Steals 6.1 6.0
Fouls 15.8 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kennesaw St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN MER
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 74.5
% of Possessions with KENN MER
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 21.3%
Player Fouled 25.1% 21.2%
Turnover 14.2% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN MER
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 30.2%