NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN NORAL
Points 81.7 81.9
Total Points   163.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 24.0
Points From Free Throws 19.2 21.9
Shooting KENN NORAL
Field Goals Made 27.4 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 58.1
Field Goal % 45.6% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 19.2 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 28.6 28.4
Free Throw % 67.1% 77.2%
Ball Control KENN NORAL
Rebounds 36.4 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.1
Turnovers 9.0 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.7
Steals 5.0 4.9
Fouls 19.5 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN NORAL
Total Possessions 76.0
Effective Scoring Chances 76.9 74.7
% of Possessions with KENN NORAL
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 23.9%
Player Fouled 25.0% 25.6%
Turnover 11.9% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN NORAL
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 25.5%