NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN MURR
Points 74.4 80.7
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.4 23.1
Points From Free Throws 11.8 17.9
Shooting KENN MURR
Field Goals Made 26.4 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 56.7
Field Goal % 44.9% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.3 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 11.8 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 25.9
Free Throw % 67.1% 68.9%
Ball Control KENN MURR
Rebounds 32.9 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.4
Turnovers 11.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.3
Steals 5.0 5.9
Fouls 17.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kennesaw St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN MURR
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 72.0
% of Possessions with KENN MURR
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.7% 23.9%
Turnover 15.7% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN MURR
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 28.0%