NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB MORG
Points 81.7 67.4
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 46.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 9.1
Points From Free Throws 12.6 11.7
Shooting LIB MORG
Field Goals Made 29.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 57.1
Field Goal % 50.8% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.9% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 3.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 12.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 25.2%
Free Throws Made 12.6 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 15.5
Free Throw % 64.5% 75.2%
Ball Control LIB MORG
Rebounds 34.2 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.2
Turnovers 9.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.3
Steals 5.4 4.6
Fouls 13.1 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Morgan St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB MORG
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 66.6
% of Possessions with LIB MORG
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 56.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 15.2%
Player Fouled 23.7% 18.5%
Turnover 13.9% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB MORG
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 21.9%