NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC DEP
Points 78.0 66.4
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.6 16.3
Points From Free Throws 9.7 17.0
Shooting UIC DEP
Field Goals Made 28.7 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 52.6
Field Goal % 47.5% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 9.7 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 23.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.8%
Ball Control UIC DEP
Rebounds 34.2 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 6.9
Turnovers 10.3 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.1
Steals 6.9 5.4
Fouls 17.3 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC DEP
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 65.7
% of Possessions with UIC DEP
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 20.2%
Player Fouled 16.1% 24.1%
Turnover 14.3% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC DEP
Shot Blocked 6.2% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 20.6%