NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC WMU
Points 75.3 66.1
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 19.1
Points From Free Throws 11.7 13.6
Shooting UIC WMU
Field Goals Made 27.1 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 57.6
Field Goal % 44.8% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 22.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 61.5%
Ball Control UIC WMU
Rebounds 35.7 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.1
Turnovers 10.2 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 6.4 4.7
Fouls 16.4 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC WMU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 71.8
% of Possessions with UIC WMU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 23.2%
Player Fouled 18.9% 22.6%
Turnover 14.1% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC WMU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 30.6%