NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB VAN
Points 73.0 71.6
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.8 16.8
Points From Free Throws 8.3 12.6
Shooting LIB VAN
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.9
Field Goal % 45.7% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 8.3 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 17.8
Free Throw % 64.5% 70.7%
Ball Control LIB VAN
Rebounds 32.3 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 8.0
Turnovers 9.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.8
Steals 3.5 5.2
Fouls 14.7 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB VAN
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 67.9
% of Possessions with LIB VAN
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 38.7% 25.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 21.5%
Turnover 14.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB VAN
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 23.9%