NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC INDPU
Points 80.4 60.0
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 7.7
Points From Free Throws 12.0 15.3
Shooting UIC INDPU
Field Goals Made 29.4 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 53.9
Field Goal % 51.9% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 42.9
2 Point Shooting % 59.9% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 2.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 11.1
3 Point Shooting % 40.7% 23.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 21.1
Free Throw % 68.8% 72.7%
Ball Control UIC INDPU
Rebounds 35.6 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.7
Turnovers 12.7 14.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 2.2
Steals 6.8 7.4
Fouls 15.2 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC INDPU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 66.4
% of Possessions with UIC INDPU
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 13.4%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.1%
Turnover 17.6% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC INDPU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 9.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 24.3%