NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC WIGB
Points 73.2 66.7
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 22.3
Points From Free Throws 12.2 13.9
Shooting UIC WIGB
Field Goals Made 26.6 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.6
Field Goal % 46.6% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 12.2 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 19.5
Free Throw % 68.8% 71.5%
Ball Control UIC WIGB
Rebounds 34.7 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.8
Turnovers 9.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 7.1 2.2
Steals 5.5 4.3
Fouls 15.6 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC WIGB
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 66.1
% of Possessions with UIC WIGB
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.3%
Turnover 13.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC WIGB
Shot Blocked 4.0% 12.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 22.1%