NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB ECU
Points 70.0 69.3
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 32.2 16.7
Points From Free Throws 9.0 12.1
Shooting LIB ECU
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 55.2
Field Goal % 45.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 25.0 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 9.0 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 17.6
Free Throw % 64.5% 68.6%
Ball Control LIB ECU
Rebounds 31.6 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.3
Turnovers 10.5 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.2
Steals 4.1 6.2
Fouls 13.8 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB ECU
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 66.0
% of Possessions with LIB ECU
2 Point Attempt 33.1% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 40.2% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.7%
Turnover 15.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB ECU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 25.4%