NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAY URI
Points 83.1 66.5
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 21.0
Points From Free Throws 14.7 9.9
Shooting DAY URI
Field Goals Made 28.9 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 57.7
Field Goal % 51.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 14.7 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 15.0
Free Throw % 74.7% 66.1%
Ball Control DAY URI
Rebounds 34.2 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.7
Turnovers 7.3 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.5
Steals 5.6 3.7
Fouls 13.1 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAY URI
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 66.3
% of Possessions with DAY URI
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 27.8%
Player Fouled 22.5% 19.2%
Turnover 10.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAY URI
Shot Blocked 4.4% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 24.6%