NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV GTWN
Points 80.1 66.6
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 22.8
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.1
Shooting PROV GTWN
Field Goals Made 27.7 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 58.5
Field Goal % 50.9% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 64.9% 40.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 19.5
Free Throw % 74.5% 72.0%
Ball Control PROV GTWN
Rebounds 36.3 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.0
Turnovers 10.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.4
Steals 6.5 5.4
Fouls 14.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV GTWN
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 70.3
% of Possessions with PROV GTWN
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 26.1%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.0%
Turnover 15.1% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV GTWN
Shot Blocked 4.2% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 28.3%