NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA SIE
Points 71.6 60.1
Total Points   131.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 16.8
Points From Free Throws 11.0 12.4
Shooting IONA SIE
Field Goals Made 26.3 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 48.9
Field Goal % 42.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 11.0 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 18.1
Free Throw % 66.3% 68.7%
Ball Control IONA SIE
Rebounds 31.8 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.8
Turnovers 7.3 16.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.5
Steals 10.1 3.8
Fouls 15.0 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA SIE
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 61.1
% of Possessions with IONA SIE
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 23.9%
Player Fouled 18.8% 22.0%
Turnover 10.7% 24.7%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 14.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA SIE
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 31.7%