NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA FAIR
Points 72.3 73.8
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 27.2
Points From Free Throws 9.2 13.6
Shooting IONA FAIR
Field Goals Made 27.2 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 54.6
Field Goal % 45.9% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 9.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 18.4
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.0%
Ball Control IONA FAIR
Rebounds 33.0 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.2
Turnovers 10.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.0
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 14.5 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA FAIR
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 66.0
% of Possessions with IONA FAIR
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 32.3%
Player Fouled 16.9% 20.9%
Turnover 15.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA FAIR
Shot Blocked 3.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 26.0%