NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST CARK
Points 72.7 65.2
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 22.4
Points From Free Throws 16.3 13.1
Shooting JVST CARK
Field Goals Made 25.0 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 54.6
Field Goal % 43.7% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.3 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 17.5
Free Throw % 68.8% 75.3%
Ball Control JVST CARK
Rebounds 39.6 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 7.6
Turnovers 10.5 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.9
Steals 7.8 6.1
Fouls 14.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Central Ark

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST CARK
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 65.2
% of Possessions with JVST CARK
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.6%
Turnover 15.0% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST CARK
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 35.0% 22.0%