NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST UNCO
Points 70.2 74.9
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.6 11.7
Shooting JVST UNCO
Field Goals Made 25.7 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 56.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 13.6 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 15.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 74.6%
Ball Control JVST UNCO
Rebounds 35.7 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 5.6
Turnovers 10.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.2
Steals 6.5 5.5
Fouls 14.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST UNCO
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 65.4
% of Possessions with JVST UNCO
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 19.8%
Turnover 14.6% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST UNCO
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 18.3%