NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST AAMU
Points 68.8 61.2
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 10.5
Points From Free Throws 19.9 17.3
Shooting JVST AAMU
Field Goals Made 22.0 20.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 50.1
Field Goal % 41.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 43.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 3.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 11.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 19.9 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 28.9 23.9
Free Throw % 68.8% 72.3%
Ball Control JVST AAMU
Rebounds 39.1 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 8.2
Turnovers 12.9 14.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.0
Steals 8.5 6.7
Fouls 17.2 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST AAMU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 64.8
% of Possessions with JVST AAMU
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 14.4%
Player Fouled 26.2% 24.3%
Turnover 18.2% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST AAMU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 38.1% 24.5%