NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR CCU
Points 82.1 65.6
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 32.2 14.9
Points From Free Throws 14.3 11.2
Shooting SCAR CCU
Field Goals Made 28.5 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 58.5
Field Goal % 45.2% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 14.3 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 16.2
Free Throw % 70.6% 69.4%
Ball Control SCAR CCU
Rebounds 39.5 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 8.3
Turnovers 6.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.9
Steals 5.9 4.0
Fouls 13.2 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR CCU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 67.9
% of Possessions with SCAR CCU
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 38.0% 19.8%
Player Fouled 20.2% 18.8%
Turnover 9.5% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR CCU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 23.0%