NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR HOU
Points 58.6 73.3
Total Points   131.9
Points From 2-Pointers 23.5 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 18.6
Points From Free Throws 13.9 12.7
Shooting SCAR HOU
Field Goals Made 18.8 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 60.8
Field Goal % 36.0% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 11.8 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 42.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 13.9 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 17.8
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.1%
Ball Control SCAR HOU
Rebounds 34.1 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.5
Turnovers 11.8 6.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.7
Steals 3.0 7.3
Fouls 13.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: S Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR HOU
Total Possessions 65.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 71.7
% of Possessions with SCAR HOU
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 54.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.5%
Turnover 18.1% 9.3%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR HOU
Shot Blocked 11.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 34.3%