NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST LIB
Points 65.6 71.2
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.1 28.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 10.1
Shooting JVST LIB
Field Goals Made 24.7 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 54.2
Field Goal % 46.2% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 13.4 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 12.3 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 15.6
Free Throw % 68.8% 64.5%
Ball Control JVST LIB
Rebounds 34.2 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 5.8
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.0
Steals 5.4 4.7
Fouls 15.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST LIB
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 63.0
% of Possessions with JVST LIB
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 33.0%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.8%
Turnover 16.5% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST LIB
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 18.6%