NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST USA
Points 72.0 72.0
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.7 23.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.1
Shooting JVST USA
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 55.4
Field Goal % 46.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 17.5
Free Throw % 68.8% 74.7%
Ball Control JVST USA
Rebounds 38.4 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 5.4
Turnovers 11.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.4
Steals 6.4 5.8
Fouls 14.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST USA
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 65.1
% of Possessions with JVST USA
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 25.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.5%
Turnover 16.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST USA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 16.8%