NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST SMU
Points 63.6 74.8
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 21.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.3
Shooting JVST SMU
Field Goals Made 22.4 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 58.8
Field Goal % 40.4% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 20.8
Free Throw % 68.8% 68.6%
Ball Control JVST SMU
Rebounds 36.1 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.6
Turnovers 12.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.6
Steals 5.9 7.8
Fouls 14.2 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST SMU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 71.1
% of Possessions with JVST SMU
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.6%
Turnover 18.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST SMU
Shot Blocked 8.0% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 32.9%