NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST KENN
Points 75.0 74.5
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 24.8
Points From Free Throws 20.3 14.6
Shooting JVST KENN
Field Goals Made 24.7 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 57.8
Field Goal % 44.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 20.3 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 29.5 21.8
Free Throw % 68.8% 67.1%
Ball Control JVST KENN
Rebounds 39.9 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 8.2
Turnovers 12.3 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.6
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 17.3 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kennesaw St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST KENN
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 70.6
% of Possessions with JVST KENN
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.1% 28.8%
Player Fouled 25.4% 23.5%
Turnover 16.7% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST KENN
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 23.0%