NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST ELON
Points 71.6 66.3
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 24.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 13.7
Shooting JVST ELON
Field Goals Made 26.5 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 51.8
Field Goal % 46.2% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.9
Free Throw % 68.8% 68.8%
Ball Control JVST ELON
Rebounds 38.3 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 7.7
Turnovers 10.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.9
Steals 6.3 5.7
Fouls 15.5 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST ELON
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 63.6
% of Possessions with JVST ELON
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 28.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.0%
Turnover 15.7% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST ELON
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 38.4% 23.5%