NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST VCU
Points 56.7 71.6
Total Points   128.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 12.4 25.4
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.5
Shooting JVST VCU
Field Goals Made 19.3 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 50.7
Field Goal % 36.0% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 26.9% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 20.1
Free Throw % 68.8% 77.2%
Ball Control JVST VCU
Rebounds 33.6 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 7.0
Turnovers 11.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.7
Steals 6.4 6.5
Fouls 15.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST VCU
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 63.1
% of Possessions with JVST VCU
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 28.5%
Player Fouled 21.7% 23.3%
Turnover 17.3% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST VCU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 23.8%