NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA BUT
Points 85.2 79.8
Total Points   165.0
Points From 2-Pointers 49.5 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 22.5
Points From Free Throws 13.0 16.4
Shooting FLA BUT
Field Goals Made 32.3 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 69.6 63.3
Field Goal % 46.4% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.8 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.0 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 20.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 80.1%
Ball Control FLA BUT
Rebounds 42.6 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 7.9
Turnovers 9.2 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.9 2.8
Steals 7.4 5.4
Fouls 15.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Butler

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA BUT
Total Possessions 76.4
Effective Scoring Chances 80.8 74.4
% of Possessions with FLA BUT
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 24.8%
Player Fouled 17.8% 20.0%
Turnover 12.0% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA BUT
Shot Blocked 4.5% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 21.4%