NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA OKLA
Points 80.5 78.5
Total Points   159.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.1 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.9
Shooting FLA OKLA
Field Goals Made 28.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 58.9
Field Goal % 45.5% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 25.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.5%
Ball Control FLA OKLA
Rebounds 37.7 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.3
Turnovers 9.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.7
Steals 6.6 5.2
Fouls 17.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA OKLA
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 73.6
% of Possessions with FLA OKLA
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 22.4%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.4%
Turnover 12.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA OKLA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 26.1%