NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCSB LBSU
Points 73.7 76.9
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 15.8
Points From Free Throws 15.6 16.2
Shooting UCSB LBSU
Field Goals Made 25.3 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 61.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 15.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 22.6
Free Throw % 75.0% 71.5%
Ball Control UCSB LBSU
Rebounds 34.1 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 11.1
Turnovers 12.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.0
Steals 4.7 7.3
Fouls 17.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCSB LBSU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 75.9
% of Possessions with UCSB LBSU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 19.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 23.2%
Turnover 17.2% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCSB LBSU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 29.3%