NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAL COLO
Points 73.6 82.4
Total Points   156.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 44.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 21.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 16.5
Shooting CAL COLO
Field Goals Made 27.1 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 58.4
Field Goal % 43.0% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 21.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 76.0%
Ball Control CAL COLO
Rebounds 31.9 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.7
Turnovers 8.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.2
Steals 6.1 4.9
Fouls 15.9 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAL COLO
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 71.5
% of Possessions with CAL COLO
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 21.3%
Player Fouled 17.4% 21.8%
Turnover 12.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAL COLO
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 27.2%