NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAL STAN
Points 77.7 78.7
Total Points   156.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 26.8
Points From Free Throws 11.3 13.4
Shooting CAL STAN
Field Goals Made 28.1 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.9 60.0
Field Goal % 42.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 18.2
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.9%
Ball Control CAL STAN
Rebounds 37.2 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 7.0
Turnovers 9.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.0
Steals 6.2 4.5
Fouls 15.0 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAL STAN
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 71.1
% of Possessions with CAL STAN
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 29.0%
Player Fouled 17.0% 20.0%
Turnover 12.7% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAL STAN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 20.4%