NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAL WASH
Points 78.4 82.5
Total Points   160.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 42.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 24.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.4
Shooting CAL WASH
Field Goals Made 27.4 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 62.1
Field Goal % 41.6% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.5%
Ball Control CAL WASH
Rebounds 39.1 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.2
Turnovers 9.5 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.5
Steals 5.6 4.7
Fouls 16.6 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: California

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAL WASH
Total Possessions 76.4
Effective Scoring Chances 78.0 75.0
% of Possessions with CAL WASH
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 26.1%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.8%
Turnover 12.5% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAL WASH
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 22.6%