NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC BEL
Points 63.1 82.1
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 30.8
Points From Free Throws 9.3 11.3
Shooting TNTC BEL
Field Goals Made 23.8 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 58.6
Field Goal % 41.6% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 61.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 9.3 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 15.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 73.1%
Ball Control TNTC BEL
Rebounds 30.2 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 6.5
Turnovers 12.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 4.8 7.7
Fouls 13.3 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC BEL
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 68.0
% of Possessions with TNTC BEL
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 33.5%
Player Fouled 17.8% 18.7%
Turnover 17.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC BEL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 17.1% 21.2%