NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC WIN
Points 65.7 76.2
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 23.8
Points From Free Throws 11.0 15.5
Shooting TNTC WIN
Field Goals Made 23.8 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 54.5
Field Goal % 43.6% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 22.4
Free Throw % 69.5% 69.3%
Ball Control TNTC WIN
Rebounds 29.9 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 8.8
Turnovers 12.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.7
Steals 4.9 5.9
Fouls 17.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC WIN
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 68.2
% of Possessions with TNTC WIN
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 28.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 24.7%
Turnover 17.5% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC WIN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 27.3%