NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MARQ PROV
Points 73.0 67.2
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 27.8
Points From Free Throws 10.7 12.0
Shooting MARQ PROV
Field Goals Made 27.1 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 56.4
Field Goal % 44.7% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 27.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 10.7 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 16.1
Free Throw % 68.8% 74.5%
Ball Control MARQ PROV
Rebounds 34.1 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 9.6
Turnovers 9.3 13.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.4
Steals 8.1 5.3
Fouls 13.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MARQ PROV
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 66.8
% of Possessions with MARQ PROV
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 33.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 35.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 19.4%
Turnover 13.1% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MARQ PROV
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 27.1%