NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU TLSA
Points 70.9 74.2
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 20.9
Points From Free Throws 13.4 18.0
Shooting ORU TLSA
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 55.8
Field Goal % 41.2% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 13.4 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 24.5
Free Throw % 77.1% 73.6%
Ball Control ORU TLSA
Rebounds 34.4 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.1
Turnovers 10.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.7
Steals 4.9 6.1
Fouls 17.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU TLSA
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 70.7
% of Possessions with ORU TLSA
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 18.3% 24.4%
Turnover 14.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU TLSA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 23.3%