NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU IOWA
Points 73.1 86.7
Total Points   159.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 20.9
Points From Free Throws 12.4 18.6
Shooting ORU IOWA
Field Goals Made 25.6 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 61.4
Field Goal % 42.1% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 12.4 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 24.0
Free Throw % 77.1% 77.4%
Ball Control ORU IOWA
Rebounds 31.2 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.0
Turnovers 10.1 7.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.1
Steals 4.2 5.3
Fouls 17.0 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU IOWA
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 75.7
% of Possessions with ORU IOWA
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 21.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 23.4%
Turnover 13.9% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU IOWA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 29.7%