NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC WKU
Points 67.7 81.5
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 47.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 21.8
Points From Free Throws 11.0 11.8
Shooting TNTC WKU
Field Goals Made 24.7 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 62.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 11.0 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 16.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 72.7%
Ball Control TNTC WKU
Rebounds 30.2 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.2 8.7
Turnovers 13.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 4.7 8.0
Fouls 13.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC WKU
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 72.4
% of Possessions with TNTC WKU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 18.5%
Turnover 17.9% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC WKU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 15.1% 25.9%